I’m going to be honest, I’m a doubter
of the automation apocalypse theories. For one thing we don’t see it in the data,
we actually have quite good productivity data, we know if we’re making more things with
fewer or the same number of people and while it is true that productivity is going up it
is going up more slowly than it has in the past. If automation were putting all these people
out of work because we’re producing so much more without any people needed at all we would
be seeing those productivity numbers shooting up. In many cases part of the problem in our economy
is not that we have too many robots but that we don’t have enough robots. If we were being able to do a better job automating
things, making the same number of people produce much more we would be getting richer faster
and we would be able to share those gains faster. So one, the robots are taking all of our jobs
maybe it will be true someday. It is not true currently and it is not visible
in any of the data currently, which is a problem. The other reason I’m skeptical is that human
beings are very good at assigning value to jobs that maybe do not have that much intrinsic
value in them. So, go back a couple hundred years and we’re
most all working in agriculture, we are doing things that are very directly about human
survival. So, you go forward in time, I mean I’m a
journalist who writes stuff online, it’s not an objectively all that needed a job. There are more yoga instructors today than
there are coal miners in America. Management consultants make a lot more money
and are given a lot more social capital, I’m not saying fairly I’m just saying it is
true, than farmers or public school teachers. So, this idea that the only jobs that have
dignity and that have worth are ones that are actually needed. This idea that we’re going to have a useless
class of people because robots are going to take the jobs, it seems a lot likelier to
me that we’re just going to imbue new jobs with both social capital and money. Again, in our society right now a lot of the
people who are given the highest incomes and given the most public esteem are doing jobs
that in the grand scheme of human history are ridiculous, corporate lawyers, management
consultants, high frequency traders on Wall Street. So, you can’t look at that and tell me that
the only thing that decides whether a job is going to happen is if we need it. What decides if a job is going to happen and
how the people in that job are looked at is a set of social constructions around that
job. In many ways I think the biggest problem is
that we don’t give the right jobs enough dignity. I look forward to a world in which being a
public school teacher gets you more esteem than being a management consultant, but we
do not currently live in a world that is either seeing all of its jobs replaced by robots
or even if you were seeing more jobs replaced by robots we do not live in a world where
jobs are just about how objectively useful they are, it is about how we value them. And I don’t see any particular reason to
believe we’re going to get bad at coming up with new jobs to value and I say that as
someone who got their start professionally as a blogger.

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